Von Alan G Fraser/Frank D Dunstan
„On the impossibility of being expert“ (BMJ 2010; 341 doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.c6815 — Published 14 December 2010) gibt es leider keine freie Version.
To estimate the time that it might take a new entrant to the subspecialty to read all the previous literature, we assumed that he or she could read five papers an hour (one every 10 minutes, followed by a break of 10 minutes) for eight hours a day, five days a week, and 50 weeks a year; this gives a capacity of 10 000 papers in one year. Reading all papers referring to echocardiography (search 1) would take 11 years and 124 days, by which time at least 82 142 more papers would have been added, accounting for another eight years and 78 days. Before our recruit could catch up and start to read new manuscripts published the same day, he or she would—if still alive and even remotely interested—have read 408 049 papers and devoted (or served a sentence of) 40 years and 295 days. On the positive side, our recruit would finish just in time to retire.
Was man nie tun sollte, ist Googles Trefferzahlen zu verwenden:
Keeping up with the literature has already become a Sisyphean task. We are even engulfed by information overload about “information overload”5; searching this term on Google gives about 980 000 hits.